Consumer Real Estate: 78233

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Consumer Real Estate: 78233
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Consumer.info Real Estate Intelligence News • Texas Edition

ZIP 78233 Offers Relative Housing Value, but Higher Mortgage Rates Reshape the Market

Home values and rents softened through February 2026 while mortgage activity rebounded modestly in 2024. The wider picture is a family-oriented San Antonio market balancing relative value, higher financing costs, childcare demand and a changing household economy.

📍 ZIP 78233 San Antonio, Texas Bexar County Woodstone, San Antonio, Texas Metro 41700

Housing and community source: Texas Reality Engine V3.4.2 governed DuckDB endpoints, with housing measures through February 28, 2026. Mortgage source: Home Mortgage Disclosure Act loan-application records compiled through the National Data System Home Mortgage Disclosure Intelligence Backbone and weighted from census tracts to ZIP 78233.

$229,915
Latest home value, down 2.4% year over year through February 28, 2026.
$1,328
Latest monthly rent, down 0.7% year over year through February 28, 2026.
14.4
Price-to-rent ratio, a relative-value lens rather than a guarantee of affordability.
1,753
Mortgage applications in 2024, up 6.2% from the 2023 total.
808
Mortgage originations in 2024, up 12.4% from 2023.
6.677%
Average interest rate among originated loans in the 2024 HMDA layer.

ZIP 78233 is not moving through the same housing environment that defined 2020 and 2021. The Texas Reality Engine reports a latest home value of $229,915 and monthly rent of $1,328, both modestly lower than one year earlier. Mortgage applications and originations improved in 2024, but financing volume remains far below the low-rate peak.

The dashboard identifies Woodstone in San Antonio, Texas, as the primary neighborhood identity associated with ZIP 78233. That label helps orient the report, but the ZIP extends beyond a single subdivision and should not be interpreted as a Woodstone-only market.

Latest home value

$229,915

▼ 2.4% year over year through February 28, 2026.

Latest monthly rent

$1,328

▼ 0.7% year over year through February 28, 2026.

Price-to-rent

14.4

The engine notes that a lower ratio can indicate stronger relative value.

Value score

61

Higher scores indicate a more favorable value lens inside the Texas Reality Engine.

Market heat

28

Higher scores indicate a hotter market or greater market pressure.

ZIP population

48,911

The population base helps sustain housing, retail and neighborhood-service demand.

📉 A cooler market does not automatically mean an inexpensive market

The latest home-value and rent measures point in the same direction: both declined year over year. The home-value decrease was larger at 2.4%, compared with a 0.7% decline in rent. That combination can improve the relative purchase-versus-rent calculation, which is reflected in the ZIP’s 14.4 price-to-rent ratio and value score of 61.

Those indicators do not establish that every home is affordable, undervalued or suitable for purchase. They are ZIP-level market measures. Taxes, insurance, property condition, homeowners association costs, down payment, credit profile and loan terms can materially change the household-level result.

🗺 County migration is context—not a ZIP-level count

The dashboard reports county net migration of 37,220 through its IRS-style county flow layer. That is a Bexar County measure, not a count of people moving into ZIP 78233. The supplied extract does not show the migration period, so the number is used here only as county-level market context.

Mortgage activity fell sharply after 2021, then improved in 2024

Applications and originations from the weighted HMDA tract-to-ZIP history. Every bar uses the 2021 application peak of 3,625 as the common scale.

2018
Applications
2,249
Originations
1,002
2019
Applications
2,482
Originations
1,100
2020
Applications
3,282
Originations
1,572
2021
Applications
3,625
Originations
1,746
2022
Applications
2,471
Originations
1,090
2023
Applications
1,650
Originations
719
2024
Applications
1,753
Originations
808
Applications Originations
20185.013%
20194.407%
20203.351%
20213.115%
20224.923%
20236.667%
20246.677%

🏦 The 2024 mortgage rebound was real—but limited

Mortgage applications increased from 1,650 in 2023 to 1,753 in 2024, a gain of 6.2%. Originations rose from 719 to 808, an increase of 12.4%. The average originated loan moved from $208,648 to $216,851, while the average interest rate edged from 6.667% to 6.677%.

The denial-rate measure reported by the HMDA backbone improved from 27.13% to 25.82%, a decline of 1.31 percentage points. Reporting lenders fell from 246 to 238.

The longer comparison remains more sobering. Applications were 51.6% below the 2021 peak, and originations were 53.7% lower. The average interest rate rose from 3.115% in 2021 to 6.677% in 2024—an increase of 3.562 percentage points.

ZIP 78233 recovered some mortgage activity in 2024, but it did not recover the low-rate borrowing environment that produced the 2021 market peak.

How to read the denial rate

The HMDA backbone reports 297 denials and a 25.82% denial rate for 2024. That percentage is not 297 divided by all 1,753 applications. It should therefore be read as the governed HMDA decision-denial measure exposed by the backbone—not as the share of every application submitted and not as a measure of any individual lender’s conduct.

Year Applications Originations Denials Denial rate Avg. originated loan Interest rate Lenders Coverage Status
2018 2,249 1,002 384 26.56% $162,149 5.013% 254 70.88% Historical context
2019 2,482 1,100 381 24.78% $172,139 4.407% 267 70.49% Historical context
2020 3,282 1,572 382 18.51% $190,095 3.351% 291 69.83% Historical context
2021 3,625 1,746 425 18.48% $246,874 3.115% 330 69.97% Historical context
2022 2,471 1,090 375 24.38% $278,378 4.923% 311 98.98% Publication ready
2023 1,650 719 284 27.13% $208,648 6.667% 246 98.97% Publication ready
2024 1,753 808 297 25.82% $216,851 6.677% 238 99.96% Publication ready

Coverage rule: 2022, 2023 and 2024 are treated as publication-ready years. The 2018–2021 rows are retained as historical context because tract-to-ZIP crosswalk coverage is approximately 70% in those years. Coverage percentages in this article follow the current Texas Reality Engine extract.

Children ages 0–5

3,816 young children are represented in the family-and-access layer.

Childcare operations

29 operations are associated with the ZIP.

Licensed capacity

1,968 licensed childcare slots are reported.

Children per licensed slot

1.9 children ages 0–5 per licensed slot.

Mean commute

23.3 minutes in the commuting layer.

Labor-force participation

66.4%, with a reported unemployment rate of 4.4%.

🏘 A housing market shaped by families and life stage

The supplied household profile reports 13,103 family households, representing 69.07% of households in the ZIP. Married-couple family households account for 8,782 households, or 46.29%, while 6,206 households—32.71%—include children.

The same profile reports 1,197 male-householder family households with no spouse present, representing 6.31%, and 3,124 female-householder family households with no spouse present, representing 16.47%. Nonfamily households total 5,867, or 30.93%.

The childcare ratio adds another layer to the housing story. ZIP 78233 has 3,816 children ages 0–5 and licensed capacity of 1,968 across 29 operations, producing 1.9 children per licensed slot. That ratio does not measure vacancies, affordability, operating hours, quality or whether each slot serves the age and schedule a family needs.

Older residents are also part of the market

The median age is 36. Residents age 65 and older total 7,043, or 14.4% of the population. The profile also reports 3,256 residents age 75 and older and 757 residents age 85 and older. Housing demand in 78233 therefore includes both family households and residents who may place greater value on accessibility, maintenance, transportation and proximity to services.

Opportunity score

53

The dashboard does not place this score in its displayed high-opportunity, middle-band or high-strain labels.

Family pressure

27

An analytical family-pressure score within the governed engine.

Displacement risk

29

An analytical risk lens, not a prediction that a household will be displaced.

Black community stress

26

Family and childcare-access lens.

Hispanic community stress

37

Family and childcare-access lens.

Veteran community stress

25

Family and access lens. The Asian community stress score is 23.

👷 Workforce conditions support demand, but affordability remains uneven

Labor-force participation is 66.4%, and the dashboard reports an unemployment rate of 4.4%. Private-sector wage and salary employees represent 76.76% of workers, government workers 14.61% and self-employed workers 8.59%.

Management and professional occupations account for 37.48% of workers. Sales and office occupations represent 25.96%; service occupations, 14.77%; production and transportation, 13.93%; and construction and maintenance, 7.86%. Residents below the poverty threshold represent 10.4% of the ZIP population.

These conditions do not produce one uniform housing experience. A median-priced home can be attainable for one household and out of reach for another depending on income, debt, down payment, insurance, taxes and financing terms.

Community composition

Rounded shares and counts from the Texas Reality Engine’s race and ethnicity layer.

Hispanic
51% · 25,093
White, non-Hispanic
29% · 14,350
Black
13% · 6,551
Asian
3% · 1,509

🎖 Veterans are a material part of ZIP 78233

The dashboard reports 3,652 veterans, representing 9.8% of the veteran-eligible population measure used by the engine. Hispanic veterans total 1,086, or 29.7% of veterans; Black veterans total 595, or 16.3%; and Asian veterans total 32, or 0.9%.

Veteran presence matters to real-estate intelligence because military and veteran households may interact with different financing pathways, employment patterns and relocation cycles. The supplied figures describe community presence; they do not identify which mortgage applications used VA financing.

For buyers

The value score and price-to-rent ratio create a potentially favorable comparison, but monthly payment analysis must include rates, taxes, insurance, maintenance and property-specific condition.

For sellers and housing providers

Lower year-over-year home values and rents point to greater price sensitivity, even as 2024 mortgage activity improved from the prior year.

For community leaders

Family households, young children, childcare capacity, workforce participation and older residents should be considered together when evaluating neighborhood access and housing stability.

  • Woodstone is identified as the primary neighborhood identity associated with ZIP 78233 in San Antonio, Texas; it is not treated as the full geographic boundary of the ZIP.
  • The 37,220 net-migration figure is a Bexar County layer, not a ZIP 78233 migration count. The supplied extract does not state the period.
  • Mortgage figures are weighted tract-to-ZIP estimates derived from HMDA loan-application records. They are not individual borrower histories.
  • The 2018–2021 mortgage years are historical context because crosswalk coverage is materially lower than the 2022–2024 publication-ready years.
  • The earlier one-person-household fields were internally inconsistent and are not used in this article. Disability data was reported as unavailable.
  • The statewide ranking table supplied with the dashboard did not display ZIP 78233, so this article makes no claim about a statewide ranking position.
  • Demographic and stress-score fields are descriptive analytical context. They may not be used for steering, discrimination, credit eligibility or individual lending decisions.

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Methodology: Housing, rent, market-score, childcare, commuting, demographic and veteran measures come from the supplied Texas Reality Engine V3.4.2 governed DuckDB/controlled JSON product. Housing measures are displayed through February 28, 2026. Mortgage history comes from HMDA loan-application records compiled through the National Data System Home Mortgage Disclosure Intelligence Backbone and weighted from census tracts to ZIP geography. The article uses the current extract’s mortgage coverage values and publication-status rules. Percentages may be rounded. Scores are analytical indices, not appraisals, legal findings, credit decisions or predictions.
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